Deal or No Deal Statistics

By Deane Barker on October 3, 2006

What are the chances of a million-dollar ‘Deal’?: A neat statistical/mathematical analysis of the game show “Deal or No Deal.”

$131,477 [is] the average of the 26 briefcases. Statisticians call this the “expected value” — what you could expect to win, assuming the banker always offers a deal equal to the average of the remaining cases.



  1. The contestants just don’t seem real. The show is fixed and that way NBC doesn’t have to part with their $$$$$$$$$$.

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