Could Dvorak Be Right?

By on April 18, 2006

Some not too kind things have been said about John C. Dvorak around here, much of it well deserved. But I’m wondering if his assertion that Apple is steering towards Windows is so far off base. I stand by my disagreement with him on why he thinks it’s a done deal, but there are other factors at play.

I was thinking about the whole Boot Camp thing last weekend, and came to a scary realization; now that Apple is building Intel-powered machines and providing the software to run Windows XP on them, how will developers react to the situation? How many will simply drop support for OS X and suggest that their Mac-using customer base install XP in order to use their software? As good as OS X is, the OS isn’t worth much if the big players won’t build software to run on it.

Who knows; between Boot Camp and Darwine, there may not be any new native OS X software being developed in five years. And there will be no option but to run Windows on our Macs. God help us all.

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Comments

  1. I don’t think that Apple’s Boot Camp or they’re move to Intel would decrease the number of developers. Writing programs for the Mac has always been different than writing them for Windows, and those who were writing for the Mac will continue writing for the Mac, regardless of the architecture.

    Come to think about it, Apple has relieved developers from the burden of having to implement hardware-specific stuff for 2 different architectures. Now you can write the low-level stuff for only x86 (which should work on Windows, Linux and OSX), and slap a GUI layer over it.

    I know I’m simplifying too much, but I think Apple stands in a better position to make such a move than it was 8-10 years ago. Impossible as it might sound, but it can harm the Windows market.

  2. Glad to see you are stepping towards agreeing with Dvorak’s position :-)

    I’m not sure who said it but I hear a better prediction about the next version of Apple’s OS. It may have the ability to launch windows apps running native Windows XP virtual machines. So instead of rebooting it would open a new windows virtual machine in OSx and run whatever app needed the windows os. If that happens companies like Adobe would probably phase out Apple OS versions because they could better production by choosing only a windows platform.

    Now that Apple released BootCamp I’m considering getting one. It supposedly runs Windows XP very fast and I like the GarageBand app and other video apps Apple includes with the system.

    Come on now, don’t you really want to admit Dvorak was right?

  3. I always thought that OS X on “regular” PC’s would be far more interesting (and better for Apple) than running XP on Macs. I’m still convinced that with regular hardware you get more value/performance for money than with Apple hardware. On the other hand, OS X is the nicest window manager I have seen for Linux so far. Bringin those two together would be really hard competition for Microsoft, and would probably make Appel the leading/defaulting OS manufacturer in a 5 year timeframe.

  4. Dvorak’s backwards.

    Its not that Apple will be moving from OSX to Windows, its that Windows users will be more apt to purchase a Mac if they can run both Windows AND OSX. Apple’s strategy is to use Microsoft’s strategy: Embrace, Adopt and Extinguish…

    Something MS has been doing to their competitors for years.

    This is sneaky way for Apple to also increase their percentage of their desktop market. People will clearly spend a little extra knowing they get the best of both worlds. In the long run, once people realize that you really don’t need XP, OSX will start becoming the dominant player.

    Logically, If you can dual boot to run that Windows only application that you MUST have, but you’re also looking at something like Pro Tools, Garagage band (a better iTunes) or even a Photoshop person, OSX clearly has the edge.

    I’m buying a MacBook once the 17″ is released, and I’ll dual boot when I need to run a Windows application — only.

  5. Windows users will be more apt to purchase a Mac if they can run both Windows AND OSX.

    Absoltuely true. I’d seriously consider a Mac now that I can boot it to Windows.

  6. Gary I completely agree. I’m looking to buy an apple now that I can have both worlds. Although I still hope they will have some kind of interoperability. Windows Vista running OSx apps and visa versa.

  7. I don’t understand the thought process of buying a Mac to run windows….You can build a PC for cheap because the componants are non-proprietary and therefore more competitively priced. If you wanted to be able to boot both systems I could see purchasing a Mac, but when all the major Mac programs are out for PC too….why the heck would you bother booting OSX? Are the free programs that come on OSX really worth the price of a buying whole Mac system and XP? Especially considering the future costs of upgrading? I’d rather purchase a PC and make it dual boot Linux + XP.

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